Washington Wizards (5-9) at Denver Nuggets (12-3)
9 P.M., NBCSN Washington
Expected Starters – Washington:
Isaiah Thomas (G)
Bradley Beal (G)
Troy Brown, Jr. (F)
Rui Hachimura (F)
Thomas Bryant (C)
Injury Report – Washington:
John Wall (Out – Achilles)
Ian Mahinmi (Out – Achilles)
Expected Starters – Denver:
Jamal Murray (G)
Gary Harris (G)
Will Barton (F)
Paul Millsap (F)
Nikola Jokić (C)
Injury Report – Denver:
Bol Bol (Out – Foot)
BY THE NUMBERS
– PPG 106.7 (25th)
– RPG 46.9 (8th)
– APG 25.7 (8th)
– OPG 101.7 (1st)
– FG% 44.4 (22nd)
– 3PT% 35.9 (16th)
– EFG% 50.3 (25th)
– TOV% 13.6 (4th)
– PPG 119.1 (2nd)
– RPG 42.8 (24th)
– APG 28.8 (1st)
– OPG 120.3 (29th)
– FG% 48.1 (1st)
– 3PT% 37.9 (6th)
– EFG% 55.5 (3rd)
– TOV% 14.0 (9th)
These teams have yet to match up against one another this season.
Bradley Beal vs Gary Harris
– 3rd pick in the 2012 NBA Draft from University of Florida.
– Averaging 29.6/4.6/7.1 on 47.1/35.0/82.8 shooting splits
– Averaging a career high in FTA per game at 6.6. This number has gone up every year for Beal since 2015.
– Since 2016-17, the % of Beal’s buckets that have come after 3+ dribbles; 32%, 44%, 41%, and 46%
– Wizards have a -1.9 net rating with Beal on the court, and a +0.6 net rating with Beal off the court.
– 19th pick in the 2014 NBA Draft from Michigan State University.
– Averaging 10.2/3.3/1.8 on 40.7/35.1/71.4 shooting splits
– Playing All-NBA level defense this year – some of his matchups so far per NBA.com
- Devin Booker, 2/8, 5 points, 3 turnovers, 45.6 partial possessions
- Damian Lillard, 2/7 9 points, 1 turnover, 15.8 partial possessions
- Luka Dončić, 0/4 0 points, 2 turnovers, 19.6 partial possessions
- Andrew Wiggins, 1/6 4 points, 1 turnover, 22.5 partial possessions
– In losses, Harris averages 4.5 more FGA, and 5.6 more 3PA per game, and Denver stars Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokić attempts go down (Murray -2.7 FGA, Jokic -4.3 FGA)
– Nuggets have a +9.6 net rating with Harris on the court, and a -7.4 net rating with Harris off the court.
The Denver Nuggets are currently on a 5 game win streak and 2nd in the Western Conference, with wins over the Suns, Celtics, Rockets, Grizzlies, and the Nets. The Wizards are 3-2 in their last 5 with wins over Minnesota, San Antonio, and Charlotte. The Nuggets are the first game of their 5 game road-trip which includes games against the Lakers and the Clippers.
While Denver ranked in the top 10 in both ORTG and DRTG last year, their defense has been carrying them this year so far. The team currently ranks 6th in DRTG, and 1st in OPPG. While Denver may rank poorly on the offensive side (26th in 3PA, 21st in FG%), they are an excellent rebounding team (2nd in ORB and 13th in DRB) on top of being an elite offensive squad.
Meanwhile, the Wizards have the 2nd worst DRTG and OPPG. However, they continue to impress on the offensive side of the ball – ranking 2nd best in ORTG and PPG. In the Wizards’ 5 wins this season, their average DRTG is 104.6 – or good enough for 10th in the entire NBA, right behind the Clippers. It’ll be interesting to see which version of Washington we see on that side of the ball, but chances are we will continue to see more of the 2nd worst ranked defensive team.
A couple similarities between these teams – they rank 2nd and 3rd in points per possession after a made basket, with Washington at 1.11 and Denver at 1.10. Also, both teams rely on a balanced scoring from the entire team. Washington has 7 players averaging more than 7 points per game, and Denver has 6.
The outcome of this game completely depends on if Washington plays defense with intensity for 48 minutes or not. Currently, Washington’s DRTG in the 1st half of games is 120.6, while the 2nd half DRTG is 108.4. Clearly, the potential is there, but will we see the effort? I personally do not see this happening, especially with Denver’s extremely talented frontcourt. Also, the Wizards play Phoenix the very next day. This could play a hand in some of the rotations.